Algorithmic portfolios

Three portfolio structures. One research question.

How does changing the combination of systems change the questions we need to ask about joint risk? These pages describe our portfolio architecture, not a selection of accounts available for investment.

A clear progression from selective to broad exposure

Names identify our research structures. They are not risk ratings, suitability assessments or recommendations to allocate money.

Defensive portfolioNORMALIZED TRACK RECORD

Aegis

Aegis brings together two strategy sleeves. It lets us examine concentration within a smaller combination; fewer components do not establish that a portfolio is safe.

Recorded weekly data · 02 Oct 2026

Since start
+42.25%
Max balance drawdown
9.87%
3M return
+9.19%
1M return
+5.59%
View portfolio ↗
Balanced portfolioNORMALIZED TRACK RECORD

Orion

Orion uses four sleeves to study a wider combination of trading approaches. Adding components changes the review work; it does not by itself demonstrate diversification.

Recorded weekly data · 02 Oct 2026

Since start
+50.25%
Max balance drawdown
10.76%
3M return
+11.04%
1M return
+3.20%
View portfolio ↗
Growth portfolioNORMALIZED TRACK RECORD

Nova

Nova uses eight sleeves, including additional gold exposure. A broader architecture introduces more interactions, execution dependencies and concentration questions.

Recorded weekly data · 02 Oct 2026

Since start
+50.72%
Max balance drawdown
14.80%
3M return
+10.33%
1M return
+6.02%
View portfolio ↗

iAll three card charts use the same $10,000 baseline and shared vertical scale. They are sampled at Friday end-of-week balance for readability. Published 1M, 3M, since-start and Max Balance Drawdown figures are calculated from the complete normalized closed-position sequence. Historical performance is not a forecast or guarantee.

What we review together

01

Shared exposure

Different algorithms can still hold the same market direction at the same time. We examine position timing and common sources of loss.

02

Risk allocation

A weight affects exposure, not just presentation. We consider position sizing, concentration and drawdown alongside the operational limits of each component.

03

Periodic review

Monthly rolling-window reviews help organise our observations. Any adjustment needs a reason and a record; recent performance alone is not a reliable selection rule.

Portfolio comparison

All three portfolios use the same $10,000 normalization basis and the same completed-Friday cutoff. The statistics are calculated from the full normalized position sequence.

More columns are available; scroll this table horizontally.
Portfolio Since start 3M return 1M return Max balance drawdown Return / DD
AegisDefensive +42.25% +9.19% +5.59% 9.87% 4.28
OrionBalanced / Core +50.25% +11.04% +3.20% 10.76% 4.67
NovaGrowth / Higher variability +50.72% +10.33% +6.02% 14.80% 3.43

Our portfolio, before and after the adjustment

We compared our original coefficient choices with an adjusted version. Coefficients are set using a six-month window; the charts below show the two historical paths side by side.

Historical research comparison — not live-account performance or a forecast.

1 July 2023 – 14 September 2026 · September is a partial month

Both paths start at USD 10,000 and retain the original historical trade sizes. This is a reconstruction, not a new backtest that recalculates those sizes for a USD 10,000 account. Historical results do not guarantee future performance.

Our original coefficients

Ending value
578,654.36 USD
Total profit / loss
568,654.36 USD
Maximum drawdown · USD / %
192,193.63 / 38.82%
Profitable months
28 / 39

After the dominance adjustment

Ending value
377,626.23 USD
Total profit / loss
367,626.23 USD
Maximum drawdown · USD / %
38,216.87 / 36.60%
Profitable months
29 / 39
Our original coefficientsAfter the dominance adjustment

Account value · USD

Scroll horizontally to view the complete chart or table.

-48,009.49 $156,553.9 $361,117.28 $565,680.67 $770,244.06 $2023-07: 9,644.33 $2024-01: 11,851.8 $2024-07: 28,944.78 $2025-01: 69,857.48 $2025-07: 137,469.05 $2026-01: 275,396.3 $2026-07: 713,812.78 $2026-09: 578,654.36 $2023-07: 9,644.33 $2024-01: 11,589.08 $2024-07: 22,460.16 $2025-01: 37,242.82 $2025-07: 53,535.07 $2026-01: 162,629.65 $2026-07: 372,689.53 $2026-09: 377,626.23 $2023-072023-122024-062024-122025-062025-122026-062026-09

The same starting capital, time span and historical source data for both paths.

Cumulative profit / loss · USD

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-58,009.49 $146,553.9 $351,117.28 $555,680.67 $760,244.06 $2023-07: -355.67 $2024-01: 1,851.8 $2024-07: 18,944.78 $2025-01: 59,857.48 $2025-07: 127,469.05 $2026-01: 265,396.3 $2026-07: 703,812.78 $2026-09: 568,654.36 $2023-07: -355.67 $2024-01: 1,589.08 $2024-07: 12,460.16 $2025-01: 27,242.82 $2025-07: 43,535.07 $2026-01: 152,629.65 $2026-07: 362,689.53 $2026-09: 367,626.23 $2023-072023-122024-062024-122025-062025-122026-062026-09

Cumulative profit or loss relative to the USD 10,000 starting point.

Drawdown from month-end highs · %

Scroll horizontally to view the complete chart or table.

-2.61%6.85%16.31%25.77%35.23%2023-07: 3.56%2024-01: 1.74%2024-07: 0%2025-01: 0%2025-07: 0%2026-01: 0%2026-07: 0%2026-09: 18.93%2023-07: 3.56%2024-01: 7.28%2024-07: 0%2025-01: 0%2025-07: 5.15%2026-01: 0%2026-07: 0.58%2026-09: 0%2023-072023-122024-062024-122025-062025-122026-062026-09

This curve uses month-end values and month-end highs. Summary and table drawdowns use historical minute samples; the maximum dollar and percentage drawdowns are measured separately.

The adjusted path is not better in every month. Read the changes in profit and drawdown together.

Year-by-year comparison
2023 covers July–December; 2026 ends on 14 September. The drawdown column is the largest monthly drawdown within each year, not a full-year drawdown.
YearOur original coefficientsAfter the dominance adjustment
Profit / lossReturn · %Largest monthly drawdown · USDProfit / lossReturn · %Largest monthly drawdown · USD
2023 2,061.3320.61688.742,499.0124.99944.40
2024 38,555.38319.668,557.5121,501.39172.024,920.98
2025 156,159.38308.5140,250.9576,423.56224.7719,881.24
2026 371,878.27179.85167,815.03267,202.27241.9832,343.80
Month-by-month comparison
USD amounts. Monthly returns use the opening value of each month. Difference = adjusted minus original; rounding can cause one-cent discrepancies.
MonthOur original coefficientsAfter the dominance adjustmentProfit / loss difference · USD
Opening valueProfit / lossReturn · %Ending valueMonthly drawdown · USD / %Opening valueProfit / lossReturn · %Ending valueMonthly drawdown · USD / %
2023-07 10,000.00-355.67-3.569,644.33 420.89 / 4.20% 10,000.00-355.67-3.569,644.33 420.89 / 4.20% 0.00
2023-08 9,644.335.260.059,649.59 268.10 / 2.74% 9,644.335.260.059,649.59 268.10 / 2.74% 0.00
2023-09 9,649.59-186.80-1.949,462.79 281.44 / 2.89% 9,649.59-186.80-1.949,462.79 281.44 / 2.89% 0.00
2023-10 9,462.79-204.69-2.169,258.11 688.74 / 7.09% 9,462.79-204.69-2.169,258.11 688.74 / 7.09% 0.00
2023-11 9,258.11891.469.6310,149.57 665.17 / 7.14% 9,258.11906.499.7910,164.60 569.46 / 6.12% 15.03
2023-12 10,149.571,911.7618.8412,061.33 670.80 / 5.82% 10,164.602,334.4122.9712,499.01 944.40 / 7.87% 422.64
2024-01 12,061.33-209.53-1.7411,851.80 1,118.35 / 9.13% 12,499.01-909.93-7.2811,589.08 1,252.06 / 9.94% -700.39
2024-02 11,851.80-2,149.22-18.139,702.58 2,880.62 / 23.20% 11,589.08-3,167.29-27.338,421.79 3,576.73 / 30.21% -1,018.08
2024-03 9,702.583,716.8038.3113,419.38 3,835.44 / 26.88% 8,421.795,088.2560.4213,510.03 4,558.81 / 28.85% 1,371.44
2024-04 13,419.388,160.5960.8121,579.97 4,031.08 / 16.00% 13,510.033,528.9126.1217,038.94 2,674.29 / 13.98% -4,631.68
2024-05 21,579.97-1,030.37-4.7720,549.60 6,833.00 / 30.72% 17,038.94-125.97-0.7416,912.97 3,882.40 / 22.64% 904.40
2024-06 20,549.60212.921.0420,762.52 1,868.51 / 8.39% 16,912.971,876.2211.0918,789.19 1,990.55 / 10.17% 1,663.30
2024-07 20,762.528,182.2539.4128,944.78 3,562.05 / 12.56% 18,789.193,670.9619.5422,460.16 1,410.91 / 6.70% -4,511.29
2024-08 28,944.782,963.9410.2431,908.72 5,697.51 / 15.42% 22,460.16722.203.2223,182.36 3,998.71 / 15.10% -2,241.75
2024-09 31,908.725,581.1517.4937,489.87 4,885.99 / 12.06% 23,182.363,061.4713.2126,243.83 3,263.29 / 13.42% -2,519.68
2024-10 37,489.877,188.3019.1744,678.17 7,327.48 / 18.58% 26,243.833,834.8314.6130,078.66 4,920.98 / 17.73% -3,353.47
2024-11 44,678.176,200.1413.8850,878.31 5,891.17 / 13.10% 30,078.663,655.2912.1533,733.95 3,867.69 / 12.81% -2,544.85
2024-12 50,878.31-261.60-0.5150,616.71 8,557.51 / 16.82% 33,733.95266.450.7934,000.40 3,331.36 / 9.88% 528.05
2025-01 50,616.7119,240.7638.0169,857.48 7,983.48 / 11.39% 34,000.403,242.429.5437,242.82 2,913.85 / 7.65% -15,998.34
2025-02 69,857.4813,876.9619.8683,734.44 8,339.71 / 9.35% 37,242.824,425.8211.8841,668.64 3,704.03 / 8.61% -9,451.14
2025-03 83,734.4413,381.2815.9897,115.71 13,885.59 / 15.29% 41,668.64-873.80-2.1040,794.84 5,351.55 / 12.76% -14,255.07
2025-04 97,115.7138,969.7240.13136,085.44 25,262.93 / 24.16% 40,794.8415,649.6638.3656,444.50 10,429.00 / 23.95% -23,320.06
2025-05 136,085.44-17,545.46-12.89118,539.98 36,765.44 / 26.59% 56,444.50-3,571.45-6.3352,873.06 9,262.11 / 15.55% 13,974.01
2025-06 118,539.98-1,220.45-1.03117,319.53 30,088.68 / 21.50% 52,873.06-4,131.85-7.8148,741.20 8,274.38 / 14.78% -2,911.40
2025-07 117,319.5320,149.5217.17137,469.05 13,569.56 / 10.65% 48,741.204,793.869.8453,535.07 4,467.76 / 8.69% -15,355.66
2025-08 137,469.054,696.483.42142,165.53 32,604.13 / 20.92% 53,535.07634.301.1854,169.37 5,456.04 / 9.58% -4,062.18
2025-09 142,165.5321,080.6314.83163,246.16 12,970.70 / 8.28% 54,169.3721,080.6338.9275,250.00 12,970.70 / 18.87% 0.00
2025-10 163,246.1616,576.1610.15179,822.32 14,039.27 / 7.85% 75,250.0010,149.4913.4985,399.48 8,633.14 / 10.08% -6,426.67
2025-11 179,822.326,083.383.38185,905.70 40,250.95 / 19.12% 85,399.489,804.5211.4895,204.01 19,881.24 / 18.81% 3,721.14
2025-12 185,905.7020,870.3911.23206,776.10 19,470.74 / 9.32% 95,204.0115,219.9515.99110,423.96 13,728.19 / 13.83% -5,650.44
2026-01 206,776.1068,620.2133.19275,396.30 24,399.50 / 10.15% 110,423.9652,205.6947.28162,629.65 18,037.44 / 12.38% -16,414.52
2026-02 275,396.3044,157.5416.03319,553.84 31,148.60 / 9.92% 162,629.6542,014.1825.83204,643.83 28,470.71 / 13.99% -2,143.36
2026-03 319,553.8482,460.5725.80402,014.41 40,096.24 / 11.58% 204,643.8361,525.0530.06266,168.88 32,343.80 / 14.02% -20,935.52
2026-04 402,014.414,709.331.17406,723.74 24,805.29 / 6.05% 266,168.888,233.343.09274,402.21 21,703.60 / 7.90% 3,524.01
2026-05 406,723.7474,755.2718.38481,479.01 36,934.52 / 8.06% 274,402.2146,029.8216.77320,432.04 21,479.57 / 6.86% -28,725.44
2026-06 481,479.01199,932.0941.52681,411.10 32,518.11 / 4.83% 320,432.0454,436.5416.99374,868.58 14,194.83 / 4.02% -145,495.55
2026-07 681,411.1032,401.684.76713,812.78 55,545.34 / 7.64% 374,868.58-2,179.05-0.58372,689.53 14,052.77 / 3.69% -34,580.73
2026-08 713,812.78-115,782.29-16.22598,030.48 167,815.03 / 23.43% 372,689.531,016.330.27373,705.86 5,718.08 / 1.51% 116,798.62
2026-09Partial month 598,030.48-19,376.12-3.24578,654.36 27,293.20 / 4.54% 373,705.863,920.381.05377,626.23 4,634.48 / 1.22% 23,296.50

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